GIB
Gibraltar · Prediction Markets · Advisory

The only door
that's open.

Gibraltar is the first jurisdiction in Europe to formally licence prediction market operators. We're the local guides who get you through the door — faster, properly, with the right people behind you.

1st
In Europe to licence
prediction markets
$41B+
2025 trading volume
across the sector
$1T
Projected market
size by 2030

Why Gibraltar

First mover
advantage.

Gibraltar has been here before. When crypto needed a regulatory home, Gibraltar moved first with its DLT framework — and the companies that came early built lasting advantages as other jurisdictions spent years debating. Prediction markets are the same story, one chapter earlier. The window is open now.

🇳🇱
Netherlands
KSA ordered Polymarket to cease operations — classified as illegal gambling.
Blocked
🇸🇬
Singapore
Polymarket blocked under the Gambling Control Act.
Blocked
🇩🇪
Germany
GGL confirmed prediction platforms lack authorisation under the 2021 State Treaty.
Blocked
🇫🇷
France
Active enforcement — Polymarket formally named and blocked.
Blocked
🇺🇸
United States
Senate bill introduced to ban sports prediction contracts. CFTC landscape remains contested.
Contested
🇬🇮
Gibraltar
First in Europe to formally licence a prediction market operator. Second licence already in progress.
Open ✓
Record-speed licensing
Gibraltar's Minister for Justice described the first prediction market licence as "record timing." The regulator assessed and approved the application under an existing legislative framework without waiting for bespoke legislation. No other European jurisdiction has done this.
Gambling Act 2025
📋
A known licensing route
Prediction markets sit inside Gibraltar's existing betting exchange definitions. There's already a licensed operator who has been through the assessment — the Gambling Division has form on the category. For new applicants, that's rare and valuable clarity.
Section 17 framework
🌍
A springboard, not a sandbox
WagerWire, the second operator to receive approval in principle, described Gibraltar as "a springboard for global growth." Operating from a reputable, regulated jurisdiction changes how banks, partners, and institutional investors see your business.
International credibility
💰
A jurisdiction that wants you here
Gibraltar's gaming industry accounts for roughly one-third of government tax revenue. The territory has a structural incentive to attract operators in emerging verticals — and that means political will, not just regulatory permission.
~28% of GDP from gaming
📊
One of Europe's most competitive tax regimes
Gibraltar levies 15% corporation tax on profits — no capital gains tax, no inheritance tax, no VAT, and no withholding tax on dividends. For a prediction markets operator building a scalable, high-volume business, the difference in net position versus a standard European jurisdiction is material from day one.
15% corp tax · No CGT · No VAT


What we do

Gibraltar moves faster
when a local
is driving.

Gibraltar is a small, close-knit jurisdiction. For outsiders trying to navigate a licence application, a property search, or a banking relationship — it can be slow going without the right introductions. We're the introductions. We know who moves things.

  • 01
    Specialist legal introductions
    We connect you to Gibraltar's leading lawyers who specifically focus on prediction markets and gaming licensing — the ones the Gambling Division already knows and trusts. Not a general referral. The right firm for this exact application.
  • 02
    Accountancy and tax advisory
    Gibraltar's tax environment is a genuine advantage — but only if structured correctly from day one. We introduce you to accountants who understand the gaming and prediction markets vertical and have the regulator's confidence.
  • 03
    Regulatory navigation
    We help you understand the licensing process, the substantive presence requirements, and the timeline before you spend a penny on lawyers. The Gambling Division has a clear framework now — we help you map to it efficiently.
  • 04
    Relocation and setup
    Substantive presence means real people on the ground. We coordinate residential relocation for directors and key personnel — property, banking, residency status, schools. Everything needed to make Gibraltar a genuine home, not a letterbox.
  • 05
    Business network access
    Gibraltar's business community is tight. We plug you into the right networking events, industry circles, and commercial opportunities — including sponsorship and partnership routes through sport, one of the most powerful relationship channels in the territory.
The Cactus advantage

We don't advise on Gibraltar. We live here.

The difference between a foreign advisor researching Gibraltar and a home grown local is not knowledge — it's relationships. In a jurisdiction of over 38,000 people, the person on the other end of the phone matters more than the size of the firm calling.

We take no referral fees from any professional we introduce. Every recommendation we make is based solely on who we believe is best for your specific situation.


The network

Every specialist
you'll need.
Already on call.

We don't do the legal work, the accountancy, or the banking. We connect you to Gibraltar's best — people we know personally, and who know us.

Legal
  • Gaming & prediction markets lawyers
  • Corporate & commercial
  • Immigration specialists
  • Licensing counsel
Financial
  • Gaming sector accountants
  • Tax structuring advisors
  • Wealth managers & IFAs
  • Audit firms
Regulatory
  • Gambling Division contacts
  • Gibraltar Finance Centre
  • GFSC relationships
  • Licensing authority liaison
Property & Banking
  • Residential property agents
  • Commercial property contacts
  • Local banking introductions
  • Temporary accommodation
Sport & Community
  • Local sporting organisations
  • Major institutional partnerships
  • Sponsorship opportunities
  • Business networking events
Lifestyle & Setup
  • Schools & education
  • Healthcare & GP registration
  • Social clubs & integration
  • Residency status support

Get started

The window
is open now.

The licensing framework is live. The second operator is already in progress. If you're building in prediction markets and looking for a regulated European base, Gibraltar is the answer — and we're the people who get you there.

Get in touch See what we do